Dubai Times

Live, Love, Leverage – Ya Habibi!
Monday, Mar 31, 2025

Europe Faces Critical Moment in Self-Defense Strategy

European leaders reassess security requirements in light of shifting U.S. policies towards Russia and Ukraine.
The recent pivot in U.S. foreign policy towards Russia, coupled with a diminished focus on Ukraine and its allies, has prompted European leaders to undertake a fundamental reassessment of their security needs.

The days of relying on dialogue and American military presence may be drawing to a close, necessitating a significant shift in Europe's approach to its defense and responsibilities regarding Ukraine.

An urgent meeting of the European Council on March 6 resulted in a foundational agreement among European governments to allocate resources for the expedited development of defensive capabilities, as well as support for Ukraine.

This agreement highlights that adequate funding is crucial for achieving real European security.

However, financial resources alone do not suffice.

European leaders must grapple with how to ensure Ukraine's security independently of U.S. support and how to bear the primary responsibility for their defense.

These objectives are complex and may take years to fulfill.

A growing number of voices suggest that European leaders should present an offer to the United States that is compelling enough to warrant its consideration.

Such an offer would likely need to include a two-pronged element: first, the commitment to deploy a substantial military force in Ukraine to deter future Russian aggression, which would form part of any ceasefire agreement; second, a clear timeline for transferring the primary defense responsibilities from the United States to Europe.

To substantively support negotiations aimed at ending the war, Europe should consider deploying four fully equipped armored brigades, supported by robust air power and essential combat assets, including air and missile defense systems.

This approach aims to both deter Russia and reassure Ukraine that any resumed hostilities would prompt immediate European intervention.

This commitment, however, should be conditional upon four key elements: Firstly, Ukraine must be included in any negotiations that lead to a ceasefire, with European nations ensuring full transparency regarding the negotiations' essence and outcomes.

Secondly, Ukraine's military capacity should not be constrained by any agreement or settlement with Russia, as ongoing Western support for Ukrainian armed forces remains vital for a sustainable peace.

The third condition stipulates that the European combat deployment should be under NATO command and control, even if the United States opts out of ground involvement, akin to the situations witnessed with other allies in previous operations.

Most European armed forces are trained and operated within the NATO framework, particularly in complex operational environments.

The United States has traditionally resisted efforts to establish parallel European command structures and has advocated for the integration of European combat capabilities within NATO.

Finally, the U.S. needs to maintain its commitment to Article 5 of NATO's charter, ensuring defense for Europe in the event of an armed attack against any member state.

Looking further ahead, it is imperative that Europe assumes primary responsibility for its defense.

Decades of under-investment in European defense capabilities have left the continent ill-prepared to take on a principal role, let alone a leadership position in its own defense.

European allies must establish a clear timeline for transferring defense responsibilities from the U.S. to Europe.

Specifically, by the end of 2025, European forces should replace the 20,000 U.S. troops that were deployed in Europe following the outbreak of hostilities between Russia and Ukraine in 2022. However, this commitment is predicated on the absence of European forces being concurrently deployed in Ukraine, as they would lack the capacity to fulfill both roles within the suggested timeline.

By the end of this decade, NATO's non-U.S. allies are expected to meet between 70% and 80% of the NATO rapid response force requirements in terms of strength and capabilities.

This includes the ability to deploy approximately 75,000 troops within 10 days, 225,000 additional troops within 30 days, and 400,000 additional troops within six months, all fully trained and equipped for sustainable high-intensity operations.

By the end of 2032, non-U.S. NATO allies should be capable of deploying 75% of all required advanced strategic assets.

Historically, the U.S. has supplied the majority of these vital NATO forces, including heavy airlift, air-to-air refueling, intelligence and targeting information, advanced surveillance and reconnaissance, integrated air and missile defense systems, and more.

To take on the primary defense responsibilities for Europe, European nations must acquire and redeploy these strategic assets to prepare for any contingencies.

Concurrently with these commitments, the U.S. should also agree to several corresponding obligations, including a phased withdrawal of U.S. forces in alignment with increasing European capabilities and commitments.

Moreover, the U.S. should commit to retaining a substantial share—though considerably reduced—of the collective defense burden, particularly through support of essential U.S. strategic assets that bolster NATO after Europe assumes primary responsibility for its defense.

Additionally, the U.S. should commit to leading the overall NATO command structure and all military commands (land, air, and maritime), integrating European leaders within the NATO framework, irrespective of any other leadership adjustments.

While Europe assumes a greater burden of NATO defense, it remains critical for the U.S. to provide the necessary leadership and control frameworks to sustain NATO cohesion.

Lastly, the U.S. must affirm its role in providing nuclear deterrence for NATO, including the continued deployment of nuclear forces in Europe as part of NATO nuclear sharing agreements.

The role of nuclear and non-nuclear allies is to reinforce this deterrent posture.

A new transatlantic deal is emerging, one in which Europe assumes principal responsibility for the continent's security while the United States facilitates this transition.

Although the White House may not be inclined to accept this timeline for transferring responsibilities, doing so could enhance Europe's commitment to its security and rejuvenate transatlantic relations.
Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
Removing the Political Opponent is Dismantling What Remains of Turkey's Economy
Ex-FIFA President and French Football Icon Acquitted of Corruption Allegations
UAE Pledges a $1.4 Trillion Investment Plan in the United States
Revealing the Electromagnetic Characteristics of the Great Pyramid of Giza
Netanyahu Dismisses Shin Bet Chief Amid 'Loss of Trust' and 'Qatargate' Corruption Investigations Involving Netanyahu's Advisors
China Introduces the 'Zhulong' C-14 Nuclear Battery, Promising a Lifespan of Up to 5,730 Years.
U.S. Creates Strategic Cryptocurrency Reserve, Sparking Market Boom
Iran's Enriched Uranium Stockpile Reaches Levels for Six Nuclear Devices
Passengers Forced to Sit Next to a Corpse for Four Hours on Qantas Flight
The negotiation teams of Trump and Putin meet, establishing the groundwork for a significant advancement.
BRICS leaders will gather in Rio de Janeiro for a summit in July.
Trump's special envoy for hostage affairs cautions Hamas against challenging Trump before the Saturday deadline.
OpenAI Revises Its Approach in Response to Intensifying AI Competition
Climate change presents substantial threats to worldwide cocoa production.
US Educator Detained in Russia Freed, Sparking Optimism for Revived US-Russia Conversations
Lebanon Inaugurates New Government with Hezbollah's Impact on Major Ministries
Report: Iran Attempted to Assassinate Trump During Election Campaign
Iran's Supreme Leader Rejects Nuclear Negotiations with the U.S.
UAE Assists in the Exchange of 300 Inmates Between Russia and Ukraine
Trump's Proposal for Gaza Provokes Global Debate
Egyptian President El-Sisi Invited for White House Meeting Following Jordanian King’s Visit
Nearly 96% of New Cars Registered in Norway in January Were Electric
Apple Abandons AR Glasses Project Amid Struggles with Technology and Market Demand
Jailed Ex-Pakistani PM Imran Khan Draws Parallels to President Trump in Fight for Justice
Apple Surpasses Revenue and Earnings Expectations, But iPhone Sales Disappoint
Iran Develops Long-Range Nuclear Missiles with North Korea's Help, Claims Report
Global Semiconductor Industry Faces Persistent Challenges Amid Efforts to Boost Production
Saudi Arabia Unveils 'Dream of the Desert' Luxury Train, First of Its Kind in the Middle East
The 'Chinese Pearl Harbor' on U.S. Tech: DeepSeek's Launch Triggers Market Collapse
The Trump Era 2: A Time of Dramatic and Profound Change
Leaked Documents Reveal Google's Collaboration with Israeli Defense Forces During Gaza Conflict
Five Billionaires on Track to Break One Trillion Dollar Wealth Barrier
UAE Leaders Congratulate Joseph Aoun on His Election as President of Lebanon
UAE Takes Custody of Abdul Rahman Al Qaradawi After Extradition from Lebanon
Google Launches Android XR: A New Chapter in Mixed Reality
Winter Storm Grounds Over 1,300 Flights Across the United States
Smartwatches: The Rising Technological Marvels Organizing Schedules and Monitoring Health
Abu Dhabi Police Launches Global Innovation Competition
UAE Receives Suspect Abdulrahman Al-Qaradawi from Lebanon
British Athletics Faces Involuntary Manslaughter Charges in the Death of Emirati Paralympian Abdullah Hayayei
The Economic Challenge Facing Donald Trump in His New Presidential Term
UAE's Private Sector Sees Surge in Hiring of Emirati Citizens
US Dollar Maintains Strength Amid Rising Bond Yields and Anticipated Labor Data
The Greenland Conundrum: Trump's Overture to an Arctic Territory
Global Temperatures in 2024 Surpass Climate Thresholds
The Fasting-Mimicking Diet: A Revolutionary Approach to Age and Health Management?
Stargazers Invited to Spectacular Perseids Meteor Shower Viewing Event in Sharjah
UAE Introduces Guidelines on Counting Commute Time as Working Hours in Certain Conditions
Complex Surgeries Successfully Save Newborn with Life-Threatening Heart Defect in Abu Dhabi
Majid Al Futtaim Launches HyperMax in Oman, Creating 2,000 Jobs
×